Univ. Concepción vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
UCO
3 - 2
CSD
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
UCO
0 - 2
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
USF
4 - 1
UCO
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
FVC
19%
25%
57%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 1
IBE
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 0
FVC
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 1
LIM
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
FVC
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |