Univ. Concepción vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
CCO
0 - 9
UCO
7%
14%
79%
|
54 | 13 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
DCO
2 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 0
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 0
DER
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
FVC
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
FVC
0 - 0
SWA
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
FVC
53%
25%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 0
DSC
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
FVC
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |