Univ. Concepción vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MAG
3 - 0
UCO
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
IQU
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FVC
2 - 3
PUE
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
FVC
1 - 3
USF
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
FVC
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
FVC
3 - 2
COB
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FVC
0 - 1
MAG
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |