Univ. Concepción vs Everton Viña del Mar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ULC
0 - 2
UCO
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 0
COB
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton Viña del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EVE
0 - 2
OHI
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
CSD
3 - 0
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
EVE
0 - 2
COL
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
4 - 0
EVE
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 3
HUA
33%
27%
41%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |