Univ. Concepción vs Everton Viña del Mar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
COL
4 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Everton Viña del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCH
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NUB
0 - 2
EVE
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
EVE
0 - 1
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 2
UCO
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |