Univ. Concepción vs Deportes Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSD
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DER
1 - 0
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 2
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
NUB
2 - 0
UCO
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
MAG
3 - 0
DSC
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DSC
0 - 1
DCO
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CUR
2 - 3
DSC
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
DSC
0 - 2
SAN
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CUR
0 - 0
DSC
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |