Univ. Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 1
UCO
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 3
OLI
17%
23%
60%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
IQU
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
CSL
1 - 0
UCO
25%
26%
48%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CUR
4 - 2
HUA
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
UCH
3 - 3
CUR
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CUR
2 - 2
EVE
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
CUR
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
CUR
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |