Univ. Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
UCO
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
ANT
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 2
SWA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 1
ANT
23%
25%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 1
DEP
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 2
CUR
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
CUR
2 - 1
PAL
22%
24%
55%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
CUR
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |