Univ. Concepción vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CSL
1 - 0
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
UCO
12%
18%
71%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
ULC
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 2
NUB
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CSD
0 - 3
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
COB
2 - 1
CSD
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CSD
1 - 2
CSL
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CSD
2 - 2
ULC
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 1
CSD
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |