Univ. Concepción vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
NUB
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
UCO
7%
14%
79%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CSD
1 - 2
OHI
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 0
CSL
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 2
CSD
9%
17%
73%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CSD
1 - 3
OHI
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
CSD
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |