Univ. Concepción vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
UCH
2 - 3
UCO
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
USF
2 - 0
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
8 - 2
PAL
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
CSD
2 - 1
PAL
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 3
CSD
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
CSD
2 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ACS
4 - 4
CSD
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
CSD
3 - 3
CSL
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |