Univ. Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCH
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 2
UCO
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 0
OHI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
COL
4 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
COQ
3 - 0
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ANT
0 - 1
COQ
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
COQ
0 - 1
PUE
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UCH
1 - 2
COQ
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 2
COQ
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |