Univ. Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 3
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 4
UCO
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 1
SWA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 3
CRZ
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
DEP
0 - 5
UCO
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
COQ
3 - 3
COB
19%
26%
55%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ACS
5 - 2
COQ
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
COQ
2 - 1
CSL
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
COQ
2 - 3
UCH
17%
25%
58%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 0
COQ
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |