Univ. Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CSD
0 - 6
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCH
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 0
USF
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 2
UCO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
COQ
0 - 2
PAL
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
COQ
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2003 |
COQ
2 - 1
UNI
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ACS
2 - 1
COQ
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
COQ
0 - 0
CSL
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |