Univ. Concepción vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
ULC
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
UCO
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
3 - 2
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
COB
0 - 2
UCO
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 3
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
COL
4 - 0
ANT
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 3
COL
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
COL
2 - 3
OHI
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |