Univ. Concepción vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSD
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 2
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
COL
3 - 0
ACS
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
COQ
2 - 4
COL
30%
26%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
DLS
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 3
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
COL
0 - 1
HUA
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |