Univ. Concepción vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CSL
3 - 4
UCO
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
UCO
4 - 1
DEP
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
PUE
0 - 4
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
SWA
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 5
COL
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
COL
3 - 3
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ACS
1 - 3
COL
40%
25%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |