Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
UCO
4 - 2
LOT
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 0
UCO
10%
21%
69%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 3
SWA
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CSL
1 - 1
ANT
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSL
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CSL
1 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ULC
2 - 1
CSL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CSL
0 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |