Univ. Concepción vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COL
1 - 5
UCO
67%
19%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
DLS
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 0
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
COL
4 - 2
UCO
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 2
SWA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COB
1 - 4
UCH
39%
26%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
COB
0 - 0
IQU
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
COB
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
COB
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
COB
2 - 3
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |