Copa Chile 1/16
Global 6-4
Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
UCO
5 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
SWA
0 - 0
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 1
CSD
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
DLS
3 - 2
ACS
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ULC
1 - 1
DLS
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DLS
0 - 0
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
UCH
2 - 0
DLS
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DLS
1 - 3
CUR
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |