Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
IQU
4 - 0
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 1
HUA
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
DLS
0 - 0
UCH
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DLS
1 - 0
COQ
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
COL
0 - 2
DLS
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
DLS
1 - 0
IQU
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 3
DLS
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |