Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ACS
4 - 1
UCO
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCH
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
HUA
3 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DLS
1 - 0
COB
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 1
DLS
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
DLS
3 - 1
UNI
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HUA
0 - 0
DLS
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
EVE
3 - 3
DLS
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |