Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 1
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 2
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 3
PAL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 3
UNI
56%
22%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 1
CSL
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ANT
1 - 0
DLS
40%
25%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
UCH
3 - 1
DLS
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 4
CON
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |