Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
USF
2 - 1
UCO
34%
26%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
UNI
3 - 2
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSD
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
DLS
2 - 3
CSL
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
DLS
2 - 3
HUA
34%
25%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CDM
1 - 0
DLS
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
DLS
0 - 1
CSD
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
DLS
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |