Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 2
SAN
25%
23%
51%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 4
EVE
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
DLS
1 - 2
COB
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 3
DLS
57%
21%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
DLS
4 - 3
CSL
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
UCH
3 - 1
DLS
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
HUA
4 - 2
DLS
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |