Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
UCO
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
OVA
1 - 3
UCO
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 1
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
PUE
1 - 0
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
UCO
4 - 2
CDM
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
DLS
1 - 1
EVE
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
ULC
1 - 2
DLS
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
DLS
3 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
OVA
1 - 4
DLS
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
DLS
2 - 1
ANT
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |