Univ. Concepción vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CSL
1 - 3
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
CDP
1 - 1
UCO
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CSD
2 - 3
UCO
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
NUB
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
LOT
0 - 0
UCO
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CDM
1 - 5
SAN
37%
25%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CDM
2 - 1
CSD
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ANT
4 - 2
CDM
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 2
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 1
CDM
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |