Univ. Concepción vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
CSD
1 - 1
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 0
ACS
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
COQ
3 - 1
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CDM
1 - 3
PAL
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SWA
3 - 0
CDM
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
CDM
1 - 2
UNI
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CON
0 - 0
CDM
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CDM
0 - 1
COB
22%
25%
54%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |