Univ. Concepción vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
NTA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 1
ULC
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
DLS
2 - 1
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
OVA
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
CDM
0 - 2
ULC
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 1
EVE
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 3
CDM
48%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
NTA
0 - 1
CDM
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
DLS
1 - 1
CDM
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |