Univ. Concepción vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
LOT
1 - 3
UCO
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CDP
3 - 2
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 1
NTA
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
OHI
1 - 3
UCO
80%
13%
6%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
0 - 1
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 0
CDM
59%
22%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
CDM
2 - 1
CDP
32%
26%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 0
OHI
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
2 - 0
CDM
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 0
CDM
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |