Univ. Concepción vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
EVE
1 - 0
UCO
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
0 - 1
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
DEP
3 - 1
UCO
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
OVA
3 - 2
UCO
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
CDM
2 - 1
NTA
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
CDM
0 - 1
ULC
26%
25%
50%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
DLS
2 - 0
CDM
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
CDM
0 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
ANT
1 - 0
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |