Univ. Concepción vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
IQU
2 - 3
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
UCO
0 - 1
CSL
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 2
DLI
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
CDM
2 - 1
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
DEP
2 - 0
CDM
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
CDM
2 - 1
DLI
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
DLS
2 - 3
CDM
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
CDM
2 - 5
CSD
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |