Univ. Concepción vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ULC
1 - 2
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 1
SBW
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 0
ESP
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 1
UNI
52%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 2
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
BLO
1 - 2
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |