Univ. Concepción vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MAG
3 - 0
UCO
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
IQU
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 2
UCO
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
PUE
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 4
USF
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
FVC
1 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAG
1 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEP
28%
26%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |