Univ. Concepción vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
UCO
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
ANT
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 2
SWA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 2
IBE
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ACS
2 - 1
DEP
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ACS
1 - 3
IQU
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 1
ACS
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ACS
2 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ACS
4 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |