Univ. Concepción vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
38%
26%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
USF
51%
26%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 2
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 1
UCO
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 2
ACS
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |