Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 0
UCH
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
COQ
0 - 2
UCO
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
49%
25%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
ANT
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ANT
3 - 1
ULC
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SWA
2 - 1
ANT
25%
25%
49%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
ANT
1 - 0
UCH
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HUA
0 - 0
ANT
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |