Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCH
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 1
UCO
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 4
SPC
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 2
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 0
ANT
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 1
CUR
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 0
ANT
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 2
UNI
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |