Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
IQU
0 - 2
UCO
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UCH
3 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BOL
3 - 0
UCO
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 2
COL
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SWA
0 - 1
ANT
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ACS
1 - 0
ANT
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ANT
0 - 0
CSL
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UCH
1 - 1
ANT
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |