Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 2
SWA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 2
IBE
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
IBE
2 - 0
UCO
14%
19%
67%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
ANT
0 - 0
IQU
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
ANT
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ANT
1 - 1
COB
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
COB
0 - 1
ANT
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ANT
0 - 0
OHI
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |