Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
OHI
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 1
UCH
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
ANT
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 2
SWA
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CSL
3 - 1
ANT
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 2
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |