Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ACS
4 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEP
78%
15%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
59%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
ANT
2 - 1
COB
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
ANT
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 2
SWA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
3 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |