Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ACS
2 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CSD
0 - 0
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
CSL
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUB
3 - 1
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 3
EVE
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ANT
2 - 3
ULC
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
IQU
3 - 2
ANT
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 1
ACS
30%
26%
45%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EVE
1 - 1
ANT
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 3
UCH
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |