Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
COB
0 - 0
UCO
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 3
ACS
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ANT
1 - 1
PUE
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
CSL
1 - 1
ANT
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
NUB
4 - 0
ANT
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ANT
0 - 1
PAL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
DLS
0 - 2
ANT
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |