U. Católica vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 2
UCO
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 0
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
UCO
5 - 1
UNI
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 0
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOC
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
VAS
1 - 0
CON
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
CON
1 - 3
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
VAS
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |