Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 6-4
U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 2
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
UCO
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
OHI
3 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
PAL
53%
25%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |