U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
COQ
0 - 3
UCO
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 0
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
DLS
0 - 1
UCO
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 3
DEP
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CSL
1 - 0
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
CDM
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
CSD
1 - 1
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |