U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 2
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
SPC
3 - 1
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
USF
0 - 3
UCO
33%
25%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
4 - 2
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
72%
17%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 2
CSL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 0
HUA
18%
23%
58%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |