Copa Chile 1/16
Global 6-1
U. Católica vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
USF
1 - 3
UCO
13%
20%
67%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 1
TAL
29%
24%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ACS
3 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
UCO
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
USF
1 - 3
UCO
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
SWA
0 - 1
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
USF
0 - 0
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 1
USF
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
DCO
0 - 1
USF
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |