U. Católica vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 1
UCO
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 4
UNI
43%
23%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
50%
24%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
COQ
3 - 2
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
USF
0 - 2
SWA
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
DEP
1 - 0
USF
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
COB
3 - 1
USF
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
USF
1 - 1
ACS
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |